Posted Jan 13 2016
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Oscars Tomorrow; Razzies Tonight - Predictions For One, Confirmation For Others

It’s one day till the Oscars announce and still nothing is clear and there are no obvious leader. Unless you count Leo, and we still feel Matt is going to give him a run for his money on the day.

So what can we expect when tomorrow’s noms are revealed? Well, one thing you can count on is the DGA having named the first five the other day – so that’s The Revenant, The Martian, Spotlight, The Big Short and Mad Max: Fury Road definitely in the running. As to the other 3,4, or possibly 5 (they do things weird at the Oscars) we thinking Brooklyn is in there, Room still has a shot, Carol’s a definite and Bridge of Spies should reap the Academy’s Spielberg love. Is there a wild card? Well, considering Fury Road was that wild card a while back, and with The Martian riding high, we’re pretty sure it won’t be Episode VII. (Though Straight Outta Compton may creep in there.) And we’re pretty sure Creed is being acknowledged for Sly’s Best Supporting and little else. (After all, you can’t have too many commercial juggernauts in your list of the good and the worthy – the general public might actually watch the show to find out who wins! And that would be bucking trends of late.

Steve Jobs and Inside Out are the remaining possibilities, but whilst Inside Out is a lock for Best Animation we think the rush to change the habits of voters and make an animated movie Best Picture has had its day. And Steve Jobs, sadly, just watched its momentum go down with its box office (unfairly.)

Other locks – again, the DGA list is likely to be partly repeated, although we could easily picture either Spielberg or Haynes displacing one of the others (most likely McKay.)

Leo and Matt are the head to head battle Best Actor-wise, with Redmayne once again being named for a very bad performance, and Fassbender still a long shot at this point. Cranston may make up the five – after all, Trumbo is a film about Hollywood and the Academy love a film about Hollywood. 

Can Vikander repeat her BAFTA double? We’re saying YES! She’s terrific and star making in Ex Machina (Supporting) and the only thing worth watching in The Danish Girl (Lead.) In the latter category, she’ll likely face off against Saoirse Ronan and Brie Larson (who have to be joint faves for the win) with one of the Carols – most likely Blanchett. In the fifth spot we’d like to think Lily Tomlin still has a shot for Grandma, with a possibility of Charlotte Rampling for 45 Years, (though her no-show at her own country’s awards might have played a part in influencing last minute voting.)

In the former category, expect to see Alicia vying for Supporting up against one of the Carols – most likely Mara, Jennifer Jason Leigh, a very definite Winslett and a very possible Fonda.

Best Supporting Actor is one of the more open categories as it really depends how the male heavy ensembles of both Spotlight and The Big Short break down. Keaton and Ruffalo could just as easily cancel each other out as Bale and Carrel. Whatever happens with those guys, expect to see Sly and Mark Rylance in the ring for the final knock out.

Screenplay-wise – we’re seeing Sorkin, both Spotlight and Big Short, Brooklyn and The Martian, with the distinct possibility of Ex Machina and a standard issue nom for Tarantino (whose Hate8 will also definitely score for Morricone – no pun intended.)

So those are our key predictions – come back tomorrow to find out if we know as much as we think we do.

In the meanwhile, whilst the Oscars nominations remain shrouded in secrecy for another few hours, as is their custom, the Razzies have announced their runners and riders for the year the night before Oscar drops his. And for once in what feels like many years, Adam Sandler must be glad Fifty Shades came out this year (even though he still got his by now customary Worst Actor nod.) And Eddie Redmayne featured for Jupiter Ascending and NOT The Danish Girl??? What’s that about?

We’re quietly expecting Fantastic Four to sweep. Full list below –

 

Worst Picture

 

Fantastic Four


Fifty Shades of Grey


Jupiter Ascending


Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2


Pixels

Worst Actor

Johnny Depp, Mortdecai


Jamie Dornan, Fifty Shades of Grey


Kevin James, Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2


Adam Sandler, The Cobbler and Pixels


Channing Tatum, Jupiter Ascending

Worst Actress

Katherine Heigl, Home Sweet Hell


Dakota Johnson, Fifty Shades of Grey


Mila Kunis, Jupiter Ascending


Jennifer Lopez, The Boy Next Door


Gwyneth Paltrow, Mortdecai

Worst Supporting Actor


Chevy Chase, Hot Tub Time Machine 2 and Vacation


Josh Gad, Pixels and The Wedding Ringer


Kevin James, Pixels


Jason Lee, Alvin & The Chipmunks: Road Chip


Eddie Redmayne, Jupiter Ascending

Worst Supporting Actress

Kaley Cuoco, Alvin & The Chipmunks: Road Chip and The Wedding Ringer


Rooney Mara, Pan


Michelle Monaghan, Pixels


Julianne Moore, Seventh Son


Amanda Seyfried, Love the Coopers and Pan

Worst Remake/Rip-Off/Sequel


Alvin & The Chipmunks: Road Chip


Fantastic Four


Hot Tub Time Machine 2


Human Centipede 3 (Final Sequence)


Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2

Worst Screen Combo


All Four "Fantastics," Fantastic Four


Johnny Depp and His Glued-On Mustache, Mortdecai


Jamie Dornan and Dakota Johnson, Fifty Shades of Grey


Kevin James and EITHER His Segue OR His Glued-On Mustache,Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2


Adam Sandler and Any Pair of Shoes, The Cobbler

Worst Director


Andy Fickman, Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2


Tom Six, Human Centipede 3 (Final Sequence)


Sam Taylor-Johnson, Fifty Shades of Grey


Josh Trank, Fantastic Four


Andy and Lana Wachowski, Jupiter Ascending

Worst Screenplay


Fantastic Four (screenplay by Simon Kinberg, Jeremy Slater and Josh Trank, based on the Marvel comic book by Stan Lee and Jack Kirby)


Fifty Shades of Grey (screenplay by Kelly Marcel, Based on the Novel by E. L. James)


Jupiter Ascending (screenplay by Andy and Lana Wachowski)

Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 (screenplay by Kevin James and Nick Bakay)

Pixels (screenplay by Tim Herlihy and Timothy Dowling, story by Herlihy, based on a work by Patrick Jean)

Razzie Redeemer Award

Elizabeth Banks (from Razzie "winning" director for Movie 47 to directing the 2015 hit Pitch Perfect 2)


M. Night Shyamalan (perennial Razzie nominee & "winner," director of The Visit)


Will Smith (for following up After Earth with Concussion)


Sylvester Stallone (all-time Razzie Champ, award contender for Creed)

 

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